Monday, June 5, 2023

Right and Left Populisms and the Debt-Ceiling Bill

 

Right and Left Populisms and the Debt-Ceiling Bill

Whew! We narrowly avoided defaulting on the national debt and risking wholesale economic calamity with the passage of the bi-partisan debt-limit deal on Thursday. In my last post I asked that we wait and see how right-wing populists led by Kevin McCarthy would fare against President Biden’s centrist pragmatism.

Score one for pragmatism! And not just on Biden’s part, but OMG! Kevin McCarthy compromised too. In April House Republicans passed a debt ceiling bill that would have extended government borrowing authority but reduce deficit spending by roughly $4.8 trillion over the next decade. That bill would’ve ravaged social programs Democrats care about.

In late May House Democrats behind leader Hakeem Jeffries dusted off an arcane parliamentary move called a discharge petition. It allows the minority party in the chamber to force a vote on an issue if their caucus unanimously votes for it. In this instance Democrats sought to force a vote on legislation to increase the debt ceiling and avoid default. When all 213 Democrats supported the discharge petition, McCarthy and company got nervous. That was because all the Dems would have had to do was find five Republicans to sign on in order to steal the legislative initiative from McCarthy and make his negotiations with the White House irrelevant.[1] And there were plenty of House Republicans, however fiscally conservative they may be, who believed that a default would be insanity.

The final package still reduced funding to improve I.R.S. enforcement. imposed new work requirements on welfare recipients aged 50-54, diminished the National Environmental Policy Act and approved the Mountain Valley natural gas pipeline: all things most Democrats opposed. But these moves left intact virtually all of the legislation passed by the Dems last year when they controlled both houses of Congress and the Presidency. Here is how the vote in each chamber went.[2]

Senate

Yes           Democrats 44        Republicans 17     Independent 2 =  63

No                                4                             31     Independent 1 =  36    No Vote 1

 

House

Yes          Democrats 165       Republicans 149  = 314                              

No                                46                            71   = 117                       No Vote   4

 

60 of the members of the Democrat’s Progressive Caucus voted to pass the debt-ceiling package, while 40 populist-oriented members voted against it. The opposing group included the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the Squad and also, Progressive Caucus chair Pramila Jayapal.

Leader Jeffries reported to the media that Dems were committed to offering as many votes as needed to get the bill passed. This allowed populist stalwarts like the Squad to take votes on principle they could show their constituents back home and nationally.

Most of the 71 Republicans wo voted against bill are members of the populist Freedom Caucus which has 53 members. Although people like Jim Jordan and Marjorie Taylor-Greene were the most high-profile of the populist firebrands forcing McCarthy through fifteen votes to become Speaker, they voted yes. Turns out they didn’t want to see the economy undermined either! But as was the case with their Democratic populist counterparts, most Freedom Caucus members could vote against the bill on their principles.

On both sides of Congress pragmatism prevailed. This may be frustrating for true populist of the right and left. Since its inception in the American Revolutionary period populism has sought to shake up business as usual in politics. The big question is whether populists simply wish to disrupt so they can be heard and get a better deal within the process, or really wish to blow things up and stage a full-on revolution. My sense is that some populists simply want the better deal, while others want the revolution.

 I will take up this issue of the relationship of populism to revolution in upcoming posts.


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